How to research a niche market spot!!
I'm always aware of trends and
current events in the real world.
I read several newspapers each
day, many magazines, both general
and nichespecific, I watch the
news, I listen to the radio.
Occasionally something that I
hear or read will stick with me. I
may record my thoughts on my
portable voice recorder, jot down
some notes, whatever happens to be
convenient for me. Sometimes I'll
call my office voice mail and
leave myself a message.
But at some point I'll have several broad ideas to research. I want to look deeper. And I want to make sure there is a good market for them before I even think about creating a product. So I'll begin completing the following steps:
Google
Zeitgeist -
http://www.google.com/press/zeitgeist.html
To begin with, I check out the
hottest search trends at Google
Zeitgeist. If I am targeting the
US market, I’ll click on “U.S.
Zeitgeist,” otherwise I’ll look at
“Zeitgeist Around the World.”
At this point I am just looking
for ideas.
If I see that a particular topic is hot, I’ll make a note of it and look at more targeted sub-niches later on at more specialized sites (which I’ll show you shortly).
Lycos Top 50 -
http://50.lycos.com
The Lycos Top 50 is another site,
like Google Zeitgeist, where I
will review the latest trends and
look for hot topics to explore
further. I will also look at
Yahoo!
Buzz for ideas as well (see
below).
Yahoo! Buzz -
http://buzz.yahoo.com
eBay Pulse ?
http://pulse.ebay.com
The eBay Pulse site is a great
place to start looking at
sub-niches. What I will do is
select the category first (using
the topics I’ve gathered from
looking at the previous sites),
then look for profitable
sub-niches by then selecting a
subcategory. The best chance for
success is if I am as specific as
possible with my niche selection.
In the example below, I don’t want
to sell to the “crafts” niche. I
want to sell to grandmothers who
enjoy giving their latch rug
hooking gifts to their families
and friends. Whatever. You get the
idea.
Also, I’ll always check the
largest stores as well to see what
they’re selling. There has to be a
reason they are the largest
stores. They must be doing
something right.
eBay also puts out a PDF report of
their hottest categories each
month,
available at
http://pages.ebay.com/sellercentral/hotitems.pdf.
Now that I have some potential
sub-niches to work with, I want to
see how much of a market there is
there. Just because a sub-niche is
popular doesn’t mean people spend
money on it.
Amazon -
http://www.amazon.com
Amazon is a great place to see
what currently exists for any
given sub-niche. Chances are, the
more books there are written on
that subject, the more that market
spends on those topics.
There are possibilities here.
We now suspect the following:
This sub-niche may be targeted
enough.
This sub-niche may spend money.
Time to scope it out a little
further.
We want to be as certain as we
possibly can that our niche is
focused enough but big enough, and
that the people in that niche
spend money.
So next I head over to the Overture Resource Center (http://searchmarketing.yahoo.com/rc/srch) and click on the “Keyword Selector Tool.” Then I enter my niche and see how many times that keyword and all related keywords were searched in the previous month.
I like to see at least 10,000
searches for all keywords
combined, but not more than, say,
50,000 or so (although I do have
profitable niches that have only a
few thousand searches at Overture,
but they are the exception rather
than the rule). For “latch rug”,
you can see that this market is
just too small.
Remember that Overture searches
are for Yahoo and their partner
sites, so to measure the number of
searches on Google, I usually
estimate between 5 and 10 times
this number to come up with Google’
s searches. Also, depending on
the market, I've sometimes found
Overture’s figures somewhat
inflated, so bear in mind that the
number of actual searches might be
lower.
If I’m happy with the number of
searches for this potential niche,
I next want to see how much pay
per clicks (PPC) are going to cost
me on Google Adwords.
For that I use Overture’s “View
Bids Tool.”
I want to make sure I won’t
have to pay more than a dollar or
two per click onaverage, but of
course what you can profitably pay
for PPC will depend on your
product’s selling price and how
many you can sell.
Again, at this point I’m just
trying to get a snapshot or pulse
of this market.
Plus, the bid process also tells
you a little about the moneymaking
opportunities of a market. As a
loose rule, if the max bid results
are between 30 cents and $2.00, it’
s a good indicator that people
are making money in this market. I
call this my “magic window.” Over
$2.00 means that the competition
is too fierce for my tastes, but
depending on your market and
eventual product selling price and
demand, it may make sense for you.
To check on the companies that
are bidding on my keywords in
Google Adwords, I use
GoogSpy. http://www.googspy.com.
One relative newcomer as a
research tool is Google
Trends (http://www.google.com/trends).
There’s lots of useful information
here. You can see that the news
volume is synced with the search
volume, and several notable news
articles are displayed, along with
where they occurred on the
timeline.
In the lower section, you can see
which countries, cities, and
languages made the most searches.
Be aware that the indicators are
normalized, meaning they are
adjusted for that region’s
population. For example, South
Africa has about 44 million
people, compared with the U.S.’s
295 million. So the U.S. may have
performed more actual searches,
but after the adjustment is made,
South Africa comes on top for this
search term, which is “fly
fishing.”
In the upper-right corner of the
page, you can switch regions (e.g.
if you wanted to check the U.S.
only), and you can change the time
period.
For example, notice below how I
changed the time period to a
single month. See any cyclic
trends there?
You may have noticed that
searches for this topic tend to
spike every Friday, going into the
weekend, and then fall again
during the week. This information
may be useful if you are going to
advertise with Google Adwords, and
you’re launching a firesale or
other limited time campaign,
because you’ll want to schedule
your campaign around one or more
of those spikes.
Some markets have different
patterns, so it’s useful to be
aware of them prior to launch.
Another great use for Google
Trends is if you are trying to
decide between two different
niches. If you enter your search
terms and separate two or more
with a comma, Google will compare
them for you.
Very useful. The work is
already done for you. You just
need to put it to good use. As you
can see above, piano is too broad
a niche. It has a high amount of
searches, but the bids for PPC
traffic is too low. As a result, I
would suspect that people are
generally not making a lot of
money with that search term.
Remember, high volume + low PPC
bids = low click through rates and
even lower conversions.
Fly fishing, on the other hand,
does have PPC bids between 30
cents and $2.00, so money is
likely being made there. However,
the search term itself is too low.
Unless you have other keywords for
that niche to add additional
traffic, I would steer clear from
there as well.
There are several other sites I
use as well to get niche ideas,
and especially to narrow the niche
and discover potential information
the market wants:
Nichebot - http://www.nichebot.com
Shopping.com Top Searches -
http://www2.shopping.com/top_searches
AOL Hot Searches - http://hot.aol.com/hot/hot
Google Groups - http://groups.google.com
Craig's List - http://www.craigslist.com
Delicious Popular - http://del.icio.us/popular
Digg - http://www.digg.com
Google Catalogs - http://catalogs.google.com
Google Suggest -
http://www.google.com/webhp?complete=1&hl=en
Technorati - http://www.technorati.com
Also, I'll do several targeted
searches in both
Google and
Yahoo (for
example, on the subject of
"hobbies").
Finally, I’ll see what existing
digital products are being sold in
my target niche at the
Clickbank
Marketplace(http://marketplace.clickbank.com).
HINT: If you want to see how your
competitor’s sale pages have
evolved over time, the Wayback
Machine is a great place to do so
(http://www.archive.org).
And of course I will always
Google my keywords and check out
the competitionin the Adwords ads.
In this case I pay special
attention to the ads that sell
information products (or services
like mine if I’m selling a
service). Some of the ads will be
irrelevant as far as competition
goes.
Ok, the next thing I'll do is
check how many magazines there are
on the subject of my chosen niche.
There are two places I go online
for that:
Magazines.com
- http://www.magazines.com
Amazon -
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/browse/-/599858/
At each site, I search by
category to find the magazines in
my niche.
Obviously the more the better, up
to a point. For example, golf has
a lot of magazines, but it's not a
good niche by itself. It needs to
be more targeted. But in that case
I can always get more targeted
sub-niche ideas within that topic
by looking at the types of
magazines for that topic.
Now, as good as these sites are for finding magazines, I'm still going to need to go to a bookstore that carries lots of magazines and browse through the ones in my niche? Why? Because I want to see what kinds of ads are in them. I need to know who else is selling what, and it will also tell me whether the people in this niche spend money. And the ads will not only tell me that, but they will also tell me what the people in this niche spend their money ON. And if I want to know which ads keep appearing (because then I'll know they are making money), I would want to pick up several issues in a row of the same magazine, if possible.
Ok. By now I should have a
pretty good niche market to test.
And by knowing what kinds of
informational products are
selling, I can start to formulate
the content I’m going to use for
my test. This is where I go to
niche-specific sites.
So I’ll set up a mini-course on
my autoresponder with my content.
I like minicourses better than
just a free report to get them to
opt in, because the free report is
a one shot deal. I want to “train”
them to be on the lookout for my
emails, to anticipate them and
open them. That way when (or if)
my offer shows up in their inbox,
it may have only been a day or two
since they last heard from me, not
weeks or months ago when they got
their free report (in that case
they’ll likely forget they signed
up for your list and promptly
delete your offer, unsubscribe, or
report it as spam). If I have a
free report I want to use, I’ll
simply break it up for my
mini-course. But as this is a new
niche, it’s unlikely I’ll have a
report yet.
I’ll then set up some very
targeted PPC ads using Adwords. I
want to match each ad group to the
keywords as closely as possible.
Then I turn it all on and start
building my list.
So where’s the product, you ask?
Well, at this point, I don’t know
for certain how much traffic I’ll
get or whether they’ll opt in or
not, never mind whether they will
purchase my product. I have an
idea, due to my research. But now
we want hard numbers to back it
all up before I invest any more of
my time and money. Hence, the
testing.
There are two things I
primarily watch as the list begins
to build:
How much traffic I am getting from
PPC. I want to compare what I’m
getting with my previous Overture
estimates (adjusted for Google).
At this point I want real numbers,
not estimates.
My opt in percentage. If it’s too
low, either my squeeze page copy
needs to betweaked, or, if I’ve
done my homework with my copy,
perhaps this market is not made up
of enough buyers. Listen, if they’
re not going to opt in, they’re
certainly not going to buy.
Now if my traffic and optins
are both good, now is the time to
start thinking about a product,
which ideally should be along the
same lines as the content they
signed up for in the first place.
Sometimes I will even email my
list at this point and simply ask
them what they want, or try to
determine their wants and needs
from carefully constructed survey
questions. Just remember that
people often say one thing and do
another. It’s only 100% accurate
when they vote with their wallets.
An even better way to test your
list’s desire for a particular
piece of information is to
announce a free teleseminar to
them, then see how many show up.
If a large percentage of your list
calls in, it’s a good bet they’re
interested in your call topic.
HINT: Teleseminars also make GREAT
products or bonuses themselves if
you record them and sell them
after the fact. In fact, sometimes
I’ll announce a paid teleseminar
rather than a free one. Why?
Because then I know people will
pay money for that information, an
even better test indicator. They
are voting with their wallets.
Plus I can always sell the call
recording after the fact as well.
Another technique to test whether
this niche is built up of buyers
or tire-kickers and freebie
seekers is to promote an affiliate
product within that niche. If the
product content is similar in
nature to what you want to create
as your product, it’s a good
indication that you have the
potential to get a similar
percentage to buy yours. Just make
sure it’s either a non-competing
product or a front-end sale. If it’
s a front-end sale, you’ll
develop a mid or back-end product.
Bear in mind that in the case of
the latter, you’ll get less of a
percentage to buy (compared with
the percentage who bought your
affiliate front-end product), but
you may make up the difference and
then some with a higher ticket
item. It’s a risk, but it should
be a calculated one.
The beautiful thing is, once I
confirm a niche will be
profitable, with this approach I
already have a pre-built list that
keeps getting bigger by the time I
launch the product.
So there you have it. There are
plenty of sites I use for research
in addition to the ones above, but
they are usually niche specific.
These sites will help you to
research practically any niche
market effectively. Once you’ve
got a handle on this process, you’
ll be able to do it very
quickly.
